Monday, February 18, 2008

Oil Steady Amid Talk of OPEC Production Cuts

Oil Prices Steady After Talk of Possible OPEC Cuts Amid Forecasts for Slower Demand Growth.

Oil price were steady Monday in Asia, rising slightly after further hints that OPEC may cut production if global supplies continue to rise amid forecasts for slower growth in demand. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries has trimmed its demand forecasts for this year by 100,000 barrels a day, but it has also hinted it may cut production if global supplies of crude continue to rise, according to Dow Jones Newswires.

Several reports in recent days, though, have suggested that global economic conditions may not be deteriorating as quickly as feared. The U.S. Federal Reserve said Friday that industrial production in the world's largest economy rose last month in line with expectations. On the other hand, the Energy Department, the International Energy Agency and now OPEC have all cut demand forecasts.

Light, sweet crude for March delivery rose 23 cents to $95.73 a barrel in Asian electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange by midday in Singapore. The Nymex crude contract rose 4 cents Friday to settle at $95.50 a barrel after alternating frequently between positive and negative territory. Oil prices have risen more than $8 in little more than a week.

On Sunday, Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez soothed American motorists, saying that Venezuela is not preparing to cut off oil shipments to the United States. The socialist leader rattled oil markets when he threatened a week ago to halt shipments to the United States in retaliation for Exxon Mobil Corp.'s success in convincing courts in the U.S. and Europe to freeze Venezuelan assets.

"We don't have plans to stop sending oil to the United States," Chavez said Sunday during a visit to heavy-oil projects in Venezuela's petroleum-rich Orinoco River basin that were nationalized last year. But he added that Venezuela could cut off supplies to the United States if Washington "attacks Venezuela or tries to harm us." Chavez has repeatedly warned against a possible U.S. invasion to seize control of Venezuela's immense oil reserves. U.S. officials have denied any such plan exists.

The United States relies on Venezuela for about 10 percent of its oil imports. Chavez's administration is locked in a legal battle with Irving, Texas-based Exxon Mobil over compensation for the nationalization of one of four heavy-oil projects in the Orinoco River basin.

Exxon Mobil, the world's largest publicly traded oil company, is seeking to freeze billions of dollars in Venezuelan assets in the United States and Europe to guarantee a payoff if it wins a decision by an international arbitration panel.

Last month, a British court injunction ordered the temporary freezing of up to $12 billion in assets of state-run Petroleos de Venezuela SA, or PDVSA. Brent crude for April delivery rose 26 cents to $94.89 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange in London.

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